Jason Rennie's 2004 College Football Rankings

Bowl Games

RankTeamRatingRecordSOSDivision
1Southern Cal8.281512-05.2691NCAA Division I-A
2Oklahoma8.188812-05.0198NCAA Division I-A
3Auburn7.687612-04.8338NCAA Division I-A
4California7.285710-15.1695NCAA Division I-A
5Utah7.197011-04.6860NCAA Division I-A
6Texas7.192910-15.1948NCAA Division I-A
7Boise St6.767211-04.3437NCAA Division I-A
8Tennessee6.68959-35.1566NCAA Division I-A
9Georgia6.61429-25.0242NCAA Division I-A
10Virginia Tech6.515810-24.6996NCAA Division I-A
11LSU6.38459-25.0097NCAA Division I-A
12Arizona St6.29348-35.5924NCAA Division I-A
13Texas A&M6.20067-45.6928NCAA Division I-A
14Miami FL6.09298-35.3139NCAA Division I-A
15Louisville5.853510-14.3712NCAA Division I-A
16Virginia5.84078-35.0095NCAA Division I-A
17Florida St5.80168-35.1458NCAA Division I-A
18Iowa5.77909-24.7039NCAA Division I-A
19Florida5.77197-44.7461NCAA Division I-A
20Oregon St5.77066-55.7385NCAA Division I-A
21Oklahoma St5.68457-45.3248NCAA Division I-A
22North Carolina5.61706-55.5487NCAA Division I-A
23Michigan5.51969-24.5043NCAA Division I-A
24Wisconsin5.47609-24.1361NCAA Division I-A
25Georgia Tech5.45596-55.0244NCAA Division I-A
26Texas Tech5.44507-45.3116NCAA Division I-A
27Colorado5.35777-55.3254NCAA Division I-A
28UTEP5.34168-34.2882NCAA Division I-A
29Clemson5.32986-55.1227NCAA Division I-A
30West Virginia5.26468-34.2245NCAA Division I-A
31New Mexico5.25397-44.9144NCAA Division I-A
32UCLA5.23456-55.3090NCAA Division I-A
33Purdue5.13867-44.4438NCAA Division I-A
34South Carolina5.09986-54.8999NCAA Division I-A
35Arkansas5.07455-65.4650NCAA Division I-A
36Ohio State5.04217-44.6484NCAA Division I-A
37Syracuse5.03556-54.5655NCAA Division I-A
38Oregon5.02255-65.2314NCAA Division I-A
39Pittsburgh5.01898-34.2294NCAA Division I-A
40Brigham Young4.97375-65.3173NCAA Division I-A
41Boston College4.96088-34.1558NCAA Division I-A
42Iowa St4.94786-54.7080NCAA Division I-A
43Notre Dame4.94746-55.2591NCAA Division I-A
44North Carolina St4.93585-65.0365NCAA Division I-A
45William & Mary4.918711-23.0068NCAA Division I-AA
46Washington St4.90495-65.2457NCAA Division I-A
47Fresno St4.78608-34.2207NCAA Division I-A
48Alabama-Birmingham4.77877-44.3209NCAA Division I-A
49Maryland4.77775-64.9890NCAA Division I-A
50Alabama4.76636-54.7394NCAA Division I-A
51Memphis4.76608-34.0290NCAA Division I-A
52Stanford4.73404-75.4017NCAA Division I-A
53Minnesota4.73176-54.3105NCAA Division I-A
54Northwestern4.69126-64.7385NCAA Division I-A
55Wyoming4.68706-54.6511NCAA Division I-A
56Navy4.67509-23.8836NCAA Division I-A
57Cincinnati4.66146-54.4868NCAA Division I-A
58James Madison4.647612-22.9511NCAA Division I-AA
59Louisiana Tech4.64556-65.0355NCAA Division I-A
60Nebraska4.62125-64.7967NCAA Division I-A
61Connecticut4.60027-43.9787NCAA Division I-A
62Southern Miss4.55506-54.6276NCAA Division I-A
63North Texas4.54417-44.3669NCAA Division I-A
64Wake Forest4.52884-74.7310NCAA Division I-A
65Hawai`i4.52777-54.3540NCAA Division I-A
66Troy St4.52457-44.2109NCAA Division I-A
67Kansas4.51584-75.1842NCAA Division I-A
68Arizona4.47113-85.5761NCAA Division I-A
69New Mexico St4.45795-64.5554NCAA Division I-A
70Kansas St4.42904-75.0116NCAA Division I-A
71Harvard4.397410-01.6924NCAA Division I-AA
72Colorado St4.37404-75.0527NCAA Division I-A
73TCU4.33135-64.4782NCAA Division I-A
74Florida Atlantic4.32669-33.0351NCAA Division I-AA
75Air Force4.31915-64.8446NCAA Division I-A
76Missouri4.30135-64.5544NCAA Division I-A
77Mississippi4.27924-75.0703NCAA Division I-A
78San Diego St4.26314-74.6401NCAA Division I-A
79New Hampshire4.208110-33.2096NCAA Division I-AA
80Delaware4.20479-43.6933NCAA Division I-AA
81Penn St4.17294-74.2343NCAA Division I-A
82Baylor4.16173-85.3299NCAA Division I-A
83Toledo4.15729-32.9600NCAA Division I-A
84South Florida4.13454-74.3352NCAA Division I-A
85Michigan St4.13355-74.4161NCAA Division I-A
86Montana4.080112-32.9654NCAA Division I-AA
87Northern Illinois4.03638-32.6892NCAA Division I-A
88UL-Monroe4.03515-64.2904NCAA Division I-A
89Middle Tenn St3.99965-64.1339NCAA Division I-A
90Rutgers3.99204-74.2691NCAA Division I-A
91Houston3.92873-84.8461NCAA Division I-A
92Tulane3.92235-64.0861NCAA Division I-A
93Duke3.89492-94.9696NCAA Division I-A
94SMU3.84843-84.6363NCAA Division I-A
95Mississippi St3.82543-84.7958NCAA Division I-A
96Massachusetts3.77206-53.2524NCAA Division I-AA
97Illinois3.73353-84.1626NCAA Division I-A
98Washington3.72471-105.3108NCAA Division I-A
99Utah St3.72103-84.5124NCAA Division I-A
100Miami OH3.70838-42.8428NCAA Division I-A
101East Carolina3.70802-94.5447NCAA Division I-A
102Tulsa3.69424-84.3967NCAA Division I-A
103Bowling Green3.67818-32.8851NCAA Division I-A
104Rice3.66893-84.4795NCAA Division I-A
105UL-Lafayette3.66734-73.9335NCAA Division I-A
106UNLV3.66602-94.9645NCAA Division I-A
107Nevada3.65485-73.8770NCAA Division I-A
108Sam Houston St3.606111-32.4804NCAA Division I-AA
109Idaho3.55833-94.2730NCAA Division I-A
110Arkansas St3.55803-84.3437NCAA Division I-A
111Kentucky3.47932-95.0332NCAA Division I-A
112Eastern Washington3.47349-42.8056NCAA Division I-AA
113Army3.44152-94.4466NCAA Division I-A
114Northeastern3.39965-63.1740NCAA Division I-AA
115Indiana3.37943-84.3051NCAA Division I-A
116Maine3.37465-63.4576NCAA Division I-AA
117Southern Illinois3.351010-21.8482NCAA Division I-AA
118Villanova3.33396-53.2764NCAA Division I-AA
119Akron3.30826-52.9736NCAA Division I-A
120Temple3.27522-94.4009NCAA Division I-A
121Cal Poly SLO3.27099-22.3685NCAA Division I-AA
122Furman3.248610-32.1664NCAA Division I-AA
123Marshall3.24546-53.0998NCAA Division I-A
124Hofstra3.23535-62.9602NCAA Division I-AA
125Vanderbilt3.23482-94.7846NCAA Division I-A
126Northwestern St3.14588-41.9951NCAA Division I-AA
127Georgia Southern3.14249-32.2263NCAA Division I-AA
128Western Kentucky3.09569-32.2800NCAA Division I-AA
129San José St2.98022-94.1434NCAA Division I-A
130Pennsylvania2.89758-21.8521NCAA Division I-AA
131North Dakota St2.86108-31.9606NCAA Division I-AA
132Montana St2.84876-52.6009NCAA Division I-AA
133Portland St2.83977-42.4171NCAA Division I-AA
134Lafayette2.79688-41.6946NCAA Division I-AA
135Texas St-San Marcos2.72355-62.5542NCAA Division I-AA
136Northern Iowa2.70047-42.5040NCAA Division I-AA
137Stephen F. Austin2.65956-52.4269NCAA Division I-AA
138Lehigh2.64459-31.6225NCAA Division I-AA
139Appalachian St2.59996-52.3608NCAA Division I-AA
140Kent St2.55365-62.6756NCAA Division I-A
141Richmond2.53193-83.2460NCAA Division I-AA
142Rhode Island2.45254-72.9593NCAA Division I-AA
143SW Missouri St2.45116-52.0623NCAA Division I-AA
144Southern Utah2.44966-52.2486NCAA Division I-AA
145Ohio U.2.44324-72.6654NCAA Division I-A
146UC-Davis2.39976-42.2013NCAA Division I-AA
147Florida Int'l2.37093-73.0490NCAA Division I-AA
148Hampton2.347310-21.1779NCAA Division I-AA
149Jacksonville St2.31219-21.3387NCAA Division I-AA
150Wofford2.29298-31.2669NCAA Division I-AA
151Nicholls St2.29175-52.0380NCAA Division I-AA
152Bucknell2.21537-41.5806NCAA Division I-AA
153South Dakota St2.20156-52.0243NCAA Division I-AA
154Idaho St2.16173-82.7782NCAA Division I-AA
155Northern Arizona2.14674-72.4647NCAA Division I-AA
156McNeese St2.14644-72.4763NCAA Division I-AA
157Brown2.14466-41.6881NCAA Division I-AA
158Colgate2.06967-41.5801NCAA Division I-AA
159Coastal Carolina2.039510-1-0.5768NCAA Division I-AA
160Sacramento St2.00963-82.8024NCAA Division I-AA
161Eastern Michigan2.00424-72.7512NCAA Division I-A
162Illinois St1.99914-72.4181NCAA Division I-AA
163SE Louisiana1.94537-40.9815NCAA Division I-AA
164Towson1.92023-82.9669NCAA Division I-AA
165Youngstown St1.87594-72.2046NCAA Division I-AA
166Western Illinois1.84314-71.8141NCAA Division I-AA
167Indiana St1.84184-72.2131NCAA Division I-AA
168Eastern Kentucky1.81966-51.7242NCAA Division I-AA
169Yale1.79765-51.8321NCAA Division I-AA
170South Carolina St1.77519-20.8471NCAA Division I-AA
171Murray St1.75957-41.4492NCAA Division I-AA
172Central Michigan1.69174-72.5730NCAA Division I-A
173Northern Colorado1.67682-92.9706NCAA Division I-AA
174Buffalo1.66672-92.9257NCAA Division I-A
175Liberty1.65526-51.2841NCAA Division I-AA
176Princeton1.60455-51.9132NCAA Division I-AA
177Alabama St1.596910-20.3096NCAA Division I-AA
178Cornell1.58864-61.9539NCAA Division I-AA
179The Citadel1.52313-72.6280NCAA Division I-AA
180Weber St1.50121-102.9647NCAA Division I-AA
181Tennessee Tech1.47306-51.3211NCAA Division I-AA
182Gardner-Webb1.42485-61.4108NCAA Division I-AA
183Eastern Illinois1.42205-61.4799NCAA Division I-AA
184Western Carolina1.33724-71.9545NCAA Division I-AA
185Southern U.1.33198-40.2633NCAA Division I-AA
186Fordham1.29605-61.4034NCAA Division I-AA
187Bethune-Cookman1.25266-40.8846NCAA Division I-AA
188Drake1.214110-2-0.5327NCAA Division I-AA
189Monmouth NJ1.160010-1-1.1328NCAA Division I-AA
190Elon1.10883-81.7962NCAA Division I-AA
191Ball St1.10572-93.0760NCAA Division I-A
192Florida A&M1.08393-82.5240NCAA Division I-AA
193Samford1.04934-71.7957NCAA Division I-AA
194Howard1.01386-50.8253NCAA Division I-AA
195SE Missouri St0.96613-81.7828NCAA Division I-AA
196Central Conn St0.94968-2-0.2222NCAA Division I-AA
197San Diego0.94717-40.3543NCAA Division I-AA
198Chattanooga0.93992-92.3145NCAA Division I-AA
199Tennessee St0.91564-71.2290NCAA Division I-AA
200Alcorn St0.85427-40.2592NCAA Division I-AA
201Morgan St0.82945-60.8281NCAA Division I-AA
202Alabama A&M0.75477-40.1033NCAA Division I-AA
203Arkansas-Pine Bluff0.72886-3-0.5639NCAA Division I-AA
204Delaware St0.69214-71.4865NCAA Division I-AA
205Western Michigan0.62181-103.0922NCAA Division I-A
206Columbia0.59421-92.0636NCAA Division I-AA
207Dayton0.48177-3-0.3544NCAA Division I-AA
208Jackson St0.43874-70.8813NCAA Division I-AA
209North Carolina A&T0.40703-81.3542NCAA Division I-AA
210Duquesne0.39837-3-1.0328NCAA Division I-AA
211Albany NY0.35474-70.9359NCAA Division I-AA
212Grambling St0.33736-50.1719NCAA Division I-AA
213Holy Cross0.20223-81.3853NCAA Division I-AA
214Sacred Heart0.17646-4-0.7971NCAA Division I-AA
215Tennessee-Martin0.13822-91.0965NCAA Division I-AA
216Robert Morris0.04766-5-0.4120NCAA Division I-AA
217Wagner0.00986-5-0.6232NCAA Division I-AA
218Central Florida-0.06250-113.3619NCAA Division I-A
219Savannah St-0.09222-81.2151NCAA Division I-AA
220Dartmouth-0.10181-92.1504NCAA Division I-AA
221Charleston Southern-0.21535-5-0.4013NCAA Division I-AA
222Norfolk St-0.36851-80.9534NCAA Division I-AA
223Georgetown DC-0.43483-80.8069NCAA Division I-AA
224Stony Brook-0.46353-70.3602NCAA Division I-AA
225Morehead St-0.46986-6-0.4842NCAA Division I-AA
226Mississippi Valley St-0.66023-8-0.0734NCAA Division I-AA
227St Francis PA-0.90603-8-0.3507NCAA Division I-AA
228Marist-0.98973-6-0.8513NCAA Division I-AA
229Valparaiso-1.12595-6-0.6990NCAA Division I-AA
230Jacksonville FL-1.19723-7-0.0732NCAA Division I-AA
231VMI-1.43410-112.0706NCAA Division I-AA
232Davidson-1.56682-7-0.2853NCAA Division I-AA
233Prairie View A&M-1.65803-8-0.4132NCAA Division I-AA
234Butler-1.93721-10-0.1872NCAA Division I-AA
235Austin Peay-2.11992-9-0.9466NCAA Division I-AA
236Texas Southern-2.65670-110.8684NCAA Division I-AA
237La Salle-4.06133-7-2.3156NCAA Division I-AA
238St Peter's-4.06333-7-1.7511NCAA Division I-AA
239Iona-4.06992-8-1.5982NCAA Division I-AA

Scores and division information taken from Peter R. Wolfe. All teams are used to calculate ratings, only Division I-A teams are shown. Bowl games are not used to calculate rankings. List of bowl games taken from Bassett. This model correctly predicts 16 of the 29 bowl games. Bassett correctly predicts 14 of 29.

The model only uses win/loss information. It ignores scores and home field advantage. Here's a writeup of the algorithm: