The Innovator's Prescription

5/31/2009

The
              Innovator's Prescription
I have been reading The Innovator’s Prescription, an interesting analysis of health care delivery by the guru of “disruptive technology”.

Clay Christensen and two medical colleagues, Jerry Grossman and Jason Hwang, have written an insightful book about contemporary health care that both explains the roots of its burgeoning costs and prescribes a re-structuring to achieve future improvements in quality and cost.  Many of the detailed ideas presented in the book are not novel, in that they have been explored or suggested by others. These include integrated health maintenance organizations, specialty clinics and hospitals, medical tourism, nurse-practitioner staffed clinics in retail stores, personal health records, and health savings accounts.  Nevertheless, the integration of these ideas makes this one of the few “management” books that I have really enjoyed and found thought-provoking.

Christensen’s focus is on the business models behind health care delivery, and the book makes a powerful argument that the ways in which large institutions (including government) today have integrated health care does not match the actual jobs to be done for patients.  The book argues that there are fundamentally three important tasks in health care:
  1. Precise diagnosis, which turns a complex presentation of symptoms and traits into a definitive analysis of what is wrong with the patient,
  2. Short-term therapy, whether medical or surgical, that fixes what is wrong, and
  3. Long-term management of chronic conditions.
The crucial factor in the rest of this argument is that scientific developments in health care will really enable the creation of precise diagnostic tests. These in turn will enable more easily focused selection of treatments that are much more likely to be effective, and are more easily provided by people with more focused and less extensive training than today’s doctors.

So far, this analysis mirrors many explanations of health care delivery. Next, however, the authors argue that the business models appropriate to each of these tasks are quite distinct, and that attempts to perform all three in places like general hospitals increases the complexity and overhead of management, and thus leads to exorbitant costs.  They argue instead for the following models:
  1. When precise diagnosis can be achieved, it must be technologically supported so that self-contained and relatively inexpensive blood analyzers, imaging systems, or even genetic tests can be applied in an office practice or even nursing clinic.  Only when such methods are not (yet) available for difficult diseases do we need the intuitive diagnostic skills of the fictional Dr. House and the vast and varied facilities of the general hospital to support him. The authors liken these practices to those of business consulting firms, and suggest that they must continue to operate, as most medicine does today, as fee-for-service shops.
  2. Once a precise diagnosis is achieved, then treatment for most cases can be quite routine. In fact, many studies now suggest that well-practiced routine care achieves better results, fewer complications, and lower costs than more ad hoc approaches.  This then enables specialty clinics that focus on just a small number (sometimes one) procedure essentially to guarantee results, leading to a fee-for-outcome model. Some such practices already exist, doing only coronary artery stents, or hernia repairs, or hip replacements.
  3. As acute health care has become more effective in saving us from death due to sudden illnesses, we tend to live on with an accumulating burden of chronic disease that requires ongoing management.  This is in fact not done very well by occasional doctors’ visits, and the book argues that a more inclusive, network based approach such as the one pioneered by Patients Like Me is most appropriate.  The appropriate business model for such activities is based on membership fees, advertising, and the value of pooled information.
There are a few places in the book where I find myself unable to accept the authors’ arguments.  They take a very purely free enterprise oriented approach in most of their thinking. Thus, they allow themselves to approve of direct to consumer advertising by pharmaceutical companies, which in my view is a highly distorted, self-serving, and abused form of decision making.

They also put a lot of faith in an insurance system that relies on catastrophic health insurance for truly unusual and very expensive episodes of needed care, combined with health saving accounts (HSA) as a way to couple people’s financial motivations with their health care priorities.  Although this may serve a rational ideal, I suspect that it will fail to assure coverage to the poor and vulnerable.  A more general version of the current “donut hole” in Medical Part D drug coverage would be an essential feature of their plan, requiring patients to pay “full freight” for services that exceed their HSA but don’t yet reach the high floor of their catastrophic insurance.  We know that people avoid filling their prescriptions even when faced with modest co-pays, and the authors themselves argue in a different part of the book that chronically ill patients often defer taking actions that would almost certainly benefit their care in the long term if those actions are inconvenient or costly.  Yet the book’s argument for HSA’s relies on patients’ adopting rational short-term behavior in service of their long-term financial interest—just what they have shown does not seem to work.  The authors also say little about how this will help the truly poor, beyond vague hopes that care can become cheaper so that they could afford it out of government-subsidized health savings accounts.

Despite its deficiencies, I think this is an important book, and points in interesting directions for significant changes in health care delivery.
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