[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]
RE: Paul Graham's PyCon Keynote & The Programmer's Apprentice
At 10:11 AM -0500 3/31/03, Christopher Barber wrote:
> > From there, Paul said that if Moore's law holds, computers will be
>> 78 quintillion times faster in 100 years (with similarly large
>> increases in memory and storage capacities).
>
>Of course, Moore's law will not hold.
Depending on who you ask, it never held.
http://www.firstmonday.org/issues/issue7_11/tuomi/index.html has an
interesting analysis of the data that underlies Moore's Law. Unless
the analysis is incorrect, and it doesn't look to be, the law isn't
supported by actual performance numbers.
--
Dan
--------------------------------------"it's like this"-------------------
Dan Sugalski even samurai
dan@sidhe.org have teddy bears and even
teddy bears get drunk